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2024-12-13 05:29:06

We can't ignore the degree of connection between these three indexes. The short-term differentiation doesn't mean that we have to break the connection. If the main A-shares don't support the market today, A-shares will plummet, so that the main ones will not be able to ship for the New Year. This is not for retail investors, but for themselves.Personally, I judge that after adjustment, the main funds will still be a bull trap at the end of the year, and this rebound high point will probably appear on December 30 and 31. This is because the main funds will use holidays, cooperate through the disk, and some of them will be higher, mainly foreign capital, increase publicity and give off-site funds a tour, which is in line with my judgment. In the past two years, the main A-share companies have always borrowed weekends, holidays and other closed days. Look at the picture below:The simplest and most direct reason for doing this is to spread out the high-priced chips at a high level. In fact, the main force has been doing this all the time. Since 924, the main capital of A shares has flowed out of the market by more than 2 trillion yuan. Who has taken these chips? According to relevant data, over 10 million new retail investors have entered the market during this period. Judging from the current trading volume, although the number of retail investors has decreased, there are still retail investors' funds coming into the market. How many retail investors have taken over yesterday's trading volume?


This chart reflects the three high positions of A-shares since they peaked on October 8th, November 8th and December 10th. Combined with the volume pile shown in Figure 1, it is clear at a glance that the real big market is that the volume pile is bigger than one, but now it is smaller than one, which fully shows that the market after October 8th is a trend of creating long traps and attracting more, and now it has been twice.Third, how will the A-share market operate tomorrow? I have the following views:Second, judging from the technical analysis, the short-term A-share market has peaked, that is to say, 3494 points yesterday was the recent high point.


This chart contains the situation of A-share trading volume since the 924 market. On October 8, the volume was the largest, which was the largest in history. On November 8, it was greatly reduced, and it was reduced again on December 10. Today, the volume is still shrinking, which still belongs to the trend of ship pulled. Everyone should pay attention to this time interval. Since October 8, there will be a rebound every other day, November 8, December 10 and December.Figure iiToday, the trend of A shares is very similar to the K-line combination on November 8 and 11. Looking closely at the K-line of the A-share market, the three high points on October 8, November 8 and December 10 have the same effect, three gravestones? This is basically consistent with my previous judgment that the main funds will continue to make long traps. I completed the first one on November 8 and another one yesterday.

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